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Writer's pictureAustin Jones

UFC 309 Main Card Breakdown: Keys to Victory for Each Fighter


UFC 309
UFC 309

The UFC 309 main card promises fireworks, with a heavyweight showdown between Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic headlining the event. This lineup is stacked with battles across various weight classes, each fight poised to showcase elite skill sets and potential upsets. Let’s break down what each fighter needs to secure victory on November 16th.


UFC 309 Main Event: Jon Jones (27-1-0, 1NC) vs. Stipe Miocic (20-4-0) - Heavyweight

This highly anticipated clash between Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic has been years in the making. As two of the most decorated fighters in UFC history, their skill sets couldn’t be more different, and each has unique paths to victory.

  • Jon Jones’ Key to Victory: Jones will need to leverage his reach advantage and diverse striking. Known for his creativity, Jones excels at mixing kicks, elbows, and unorthodox strikes. Utilizing his wrestling to control Miocic against the cage could wear down the heavyweight and prevent him from finding his rhythm. Jones’ ground-and-pound and ability to control opponents from top position could be decisive.

  • Stipe Miocic’s Key to Victory: Miocic, as a natural heavyweight, will look to keep the fight standing and land power punches that could stagger Jones. Pressuring Jones while minimizing damage from kicks will be key, as well as targeting body shots to sap Jones' energy. Miocic’s wrestling background could also help keep the fight in the center of the Octagon, where he has space to unload.


UFC 309 Co-Main Event: Charles Oliveira (34-10-0, 1NC) vs. Michael Chandler (23-8-0) - Lightweight

The co-main event sees two explosive fighters with a history of action-packed bouts. Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler both have high finishing rates, so expect a fast-paced war.

  • Charles Oliveira’s Key to Victory: Oliveira’s submission skills are some of the best in the UFC. Against a power puncher like Chandler, Oliveira will need to control the pace and potentially look to bring the fight to the ground. Oliveira’s clinch work and knees can help him slow Chandler down. If he can survive the initial onslaught, Oliveira can set up submissions or wear Chandler out for a later-round finish.

  • Michael Chandler’s Key to Victory: Chandler’s power and explosiveness could be his best assets against Oliveira. He’ll need to keep the fight standing, use his wrestling defensively to avoid Oliveira’s ground game, and land heavy shots early to test Oliveira’s chin. Chandler’s ability to pressure and cut off the cage will be key to keeping Oliveira from finding his rhythm and space.


UFC 309 Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) vs. Karine Silva (18-4-0) - Women’s Flyweight

This flyweight matchup features Viviane Araujo and Karine Silva, both skilled in stand-up and grappling, making this a well-rounded clash.

  • Viviane Araujo’s Key to Victory: Araujo has the striking skills to dictate range, but her gas tank has been questionable in the past. She’ll need to establish her jab, avoid Silva’s clinch, and pace herself. Araujo’s takedown defense and ability to keep the fight standing will be critical, as Silva has solid submissions. By keeping a steady volume of strikes and using her footwork, Araujo can edge out Silva on the scorecards.

  • Karine Silva’s Key to Victory: Silva’s strengths lie in her grappling and submissions. She’ll need to pressure Araujo and look for clinch or takedown opportunities. Once on the ground, Silva should seek to control positions and hunt for submissions. Even standing, Silva can threaten with power punches, but her real advantage will be on the mat.


UFC 309 Bo Nickal (6-0-0) vs. Paul Craig (17-8-1) - Middleweight

An intriguing stylistic clash, this middleweight bout features the decorated wrestler Bo Nickal against submission specialist Paul Craig.

  • Bo Nickal’s Key to Victory: Nickal’s wrestling is unparalleled in this matchup. His best strategy will be to keep Craig on his back foot, using top control and ground-and-pound to avoid Craig’s guard submissions. Nickal’s striking is still developing, so mixing it up while capitalizing on takedown opportunities will be crucial for him to avoid the unpredictable submissions Craig is known for.

  • Paul Craig’s Key to Victory: Craig is a master of the guard and has a history of catching opponents in unexpected submissions. He’ll need to embrace his role as the underdog, potentially baiting Nickal into overcommitting on the ground. If he can manage to keep Nickal uncomfortable or catch him in a transition, Craig’s submission game could end the night early.


UFC 309 Chris Weidman (16-7-0) vs. Eryk Anders (16-8-0, 1NC) - Middleweight

Chris Weidman and Eryk Anders both bring power and resilience to this middleweight bout, each looking to make a statement.

  • Chris Weidman’s Key to Victory: Weidman’s wrestling and experience will be essential. By keeping Anders off-balance, Weidman can use his grappling and clinch work to control the fight. If he can take Anders to the ground, Weidman’s ground control and submissions could shine. Striking defense will also be critical, as Anders has knockout power.

  • Eryk Anders’ Key to Victory: Anders is at his best when he can engage in a brawl. His path to victory will be pressuring Weidman and making the fight scrappy, especially by keeping Weidman from gaining confidence in grappling exchanges. Anders’ power shots could overwhelm Weidman if he stays on his feet and uses explosive combinations.


Final Thoughts

UFC 309’s main card promises something for every fan, from technical battles to potential knockouts. Each fighter has distinct paths to victory, hinging on their ability to dictate the fight’s rhythm. Tune in on November 16th to witness who can execute their game plan and emerge victorious. Fight.TV is here for it!

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